Track the market signal with evidence quality in view.
Price, BNB/BTC relative strength, market structure, derivatives positioning, on-chain liquidity and supply projections are cross-validated on one research surface.
BNB / USDT — Daily Technical Chart
Real OHLCV + SMA20 / SMA50 / SMA200; the open candle updates through the real-time feed.
BNB Analysis Engine v2
Multi-signal validation and explainable factor contribution.
Technical State
Momentum, volatility and long-term trend summary.
Market Analysis
Structure, momentum, patterns and BNB/BTC relative strength on one decision surface.
BNB / BTC Relative Strength
Daily pair data, SMA30 / SMA90 and the historical ATH reference provide a more detailed view of short- and medium-term relative-strength turns.
Price Action Engine
Pivot-based structure, breakout/retest and trend channel.
Fibonacci + Divergence
Retracement/extension and momentum divergence from the latest meaningful swing.
Multi-Timeframe Engine
Real 15m, 1h, 4h, 1D and 1W OHLCV series are analyzed independently.
Pattern Engine
Confidence scoring using geometry, confirmation, recency and volume support.
Point-in-Time Backtest
Historical signal audit without using future candles.
Derivatives & Risk
Joint assessment of funding, open interest, futures premium and multiple risk components.
Derivatives Markets
Funding, open interest, long/short distribution and futures premium.
Risk Engine
Volatility, trend, leverage, support distance and timeframe conflicts.
On-chain
BSC liquidity, network health and supply-reducing burn dynamics.
BSC On-chain Liquidity
Trend view of TVL and stablecoin market capitalization.
Network Health
Direct BSC JSON-RPC sampling.
BNB Burn
Completed and projected Auto-Burn + BEP-95 burn view.
2029 Valuation
Multi-target valuation using the BTC scenario, BNB/BTC relative value, network adjustment and post-burn supply.
2029 Scenario Engine
Bear / Base / Bull / Euphoria; scenario fit is not a probability.
| Scenario | BTC | BNB/BTC | Pair-Implied Target | 2029 Supply | Market Capitalization | Blended Target |
|---|
Base Scenario — Supply Projection
BEP-524 time-based Auto-Burn formula.
Model Lab
The frozen v14.1-r6 decision engine tracks the historical gate, forward-validation ledger and selection stability together.
Prediction Model Calibration v14.1
The v1.3.19 Validation Protocol freezes thresholds. Tactical 30D is the forward candidate; Alpha 30D remains research/shadow-only. Historical outer-fold or holdout results are never used for retuning.
| Feature Set | L2 | Analog Weight | Nested Gate | Outer Balanced Accuracy | Outer Precision | Outer Objective |
|---|
| Feature Set | Selection Frequency | Outer Fold | Stability |
|---|
| Outer Fold | Selected Set | L2 | Analog | Threshold | Inner Objective | Outer Objective | Outer Precision |
|---|
Historical Replay
Freezes the model at the selected date; later returns are used only for outcome assessment.
System Health
Operational view of provider availability, fallback behavior and data freshness.
Source and Data Health
If a source is interrupted, the latest successful SQLite snapshot may be used as stale data; model eligibility is checked separately.
Release Journal
Every material change, model decision and interface improvement to BNB Analysis Live is archived here by release.
Feedback notifications moved to Telegram
SMTP configuration was removed; validated feedback is stored in SQLite first and then reported to the private Telegram channel.
- The bot token and target channel ID are kept only in server environment variables.
- If Telegram is unavailable, the feedback remains in SQLite and the delivery failure is recorded.
- A safe setup tool was added to discover the private channel ID and send a test message.
- Prediction Model v14.1-r6 and the Frozen Validation Protocol were not changed.
Analysis summaries and compact row geometry completed
Analysis summary cards now use the shared KPI hover system, while analytical and metric rows use a denser terminal layout.
- Analysis summary cards use the KPI hover effect.
- Factor, risk, and MTF rows were set to a 34 px height with 5 px spacing.
- Standard metric rows use a 34 px height and 5 px spacing.
- The CSS conflict that masked the bottom border of the final metric row during hover was removed.
All analytical rows aligned with the KPI hover effect
Factor, risk, multi-timeframe, and metric rows now use the same focus effect as KPI cards.
- Border color, outer shadow, and BNB-tinted inset shadow are now controlled by one shared hover rule.
- Standard metric rows and the multi-column metric-cards design are consolidated into one CSS section.
- KPI hover behavior was applied to every metric-card item.
Metric lists moved to the unified analytical card design
Metric lists across the terminal now share the same visual language as factor, risk, and multi-timeframe rows.
- Standard metric rows use a 40 px card height, unified border, and background.
- All metric rows now use the same BNB-tinted hover border and inset shadow.
- The data-dense layout of multi-column metric cards is preserved while their surface design is unified.
Analytical rows aligned at 40 px height
Using the MTF row's actual 40 px height as the reference, analytical rows across Overview, Market Analysis, and Derivatives & Risk were realigned.
- Factor, risk, and MTF rows all use a fixed 40 px height.
- MTF rows use the active border and background hover behavior from factor rows.
Analytical row heights and hover behavior aligned
Analytical rows across Overview, Market Analysis, and Derivatives & Risk now share one geometry and interaction rule.
- Factor rows use the same fixed height as MTF rows.
- Risk rows use the same fixed height as MTF rows.
- The active border and background hover behavior from factor rows now also applies to MTF rows.
English coverage and analytical panels completed
The static interface and dynamic states returned by the analysis engine were audited together. New visitors now start in English, while an explicit Turkish selection remains preserved.
- English coverage was completed for dynamic analysis, risk, backtest, burn and calibration text.
- Analysis factors and risk components now use the same card structure as multi-timeframe rows.
- The BNB/BTC Relative Strength panel is now full-width, interactive and placed at the top of Market Analysis.
Panel alignment restored and the on-chain chart made interactive
The main chart again occupies the first row on Overview; Analysis Engine and Technical State are fixed at equal width and height on the second row. Row-level panel equalization removed in v1.4.2 has been restored.
- Overview: full-width main chart in the first row, two equal analysis panels in the second.
- Panels in the same grid row once again stretch to equal height.
- Safe room is reserved for the right axis on the dual-axis on-chain chart, eliminating clipped labels.
- A hover crosshair and TVL / stablecoin value tooltip were added to the on-chain liquidity chart.
- Release entries are shown release by release in a single column.
Readability, responsive charts and an active BNB donation address
Typography was enlarged throughout the terminal. SVG scaling that stretched charts horizontally and distorted labels on wide displays was removed; chart surfaces now calculate height from their natural aspect ratio.
- Analysis Engine and Technical State panels on the Overview second row have equal widths.
- All main panels and KPI surfaces receive a yellow border and soft BNB tint on hover.
- The BNB Smart Chain donation address is active, with QR code and one-click copy.
- Panel copy, table content, labels and helper text were enlarged for readability.
Terminal interface redesigned for readability and interaction
Overview, On-chain, Model Lab and 2029 Valuation workspaces were reorganized for real terminal use. The supply projection gained an interactive hover layer, the browser tab gained the live BNB price, and Release Journal/Donate areas were added to the sidebar.
- The Overview main chart moved to a full-width top row.
- The on-chain liquidity chart is full width, with Network Health and Burn panels below.
- Quarterly supply, burn and average BNB price can be inspected on hover in the 2029 supply chart.
- Typography and the market-regime card were strengthened for readability.
Professional workspaces replace one long dashboard
The interface was split into seven workspaces: Overview, Market Analysis, Derivatives & Risk, On-chain, 2029 Valuation, Model Lab and System Health. A left terminal navigation, top market band, mobile drawer and Ctrl+K command palette were added.
Prediction Model v14.1-r6 and the v1.3.19 Frozen Validation Protocol were not changed.
Model development frozen; the real forward-evidence period begins
Tactical 30D was locked as the only forward candidate; Alpha 30D moved to research/shadow-only status. Promotion thresholds became immutable, and integrity hashes plus historical record protection were added to the forward ledger. Selection Stability Guard reports fragility as telemetry instead of retuning.
Data reliability and selection stability made visible
Freshness, fallback and model-eligibility checks were validated for mandatory model inputs. Selection Stability Audit exposed fragility between inner CV and outer-period performance in the Tactical model, shifting the next development step from new features to forward validation.
Minimal model, external market information and leakage-safe validation
OOF feature selection, feature stability, abstention correctness, cross-market BTC/ETH regime, perpetual derivatives and BSC on-chain histories were tested systematically. Purged walk-forward, nested outer folds and rejection-only holdout separation were tightened to prevent model selection from looking at past outcomes.
Core layers of the BNB analysis engine established
Price action, technical indicators, patterns, BNB/BTC relative strength, derivatives, on-chain liquidity, BNB burn/supply and 2029 scenario engines were combined on one research surface. The model is designed to explain factor contribution and data quality, not only the result.
Building a resilient data-collection foundation
On networks where direct exchange access is unreliable, DefiLlama fallback stabilized BNB/USD, BTC/USD and BNB/BTC feeds. This release became the baseline for the reliable data layer used by later analysis engines.
Donate
Anyone who wants to support BNB Analysis Live development can contribute over BNB Smart Chain (BSC / BEP-20).
Support with Crypto
Make sure this network is selected: BNB Smart Chain (BEP-20).
0xDEbD6D599eECF0C51b4df8d873c4D4B8C4B6aCBdThis address can receive BNB and supported BEP-20 token transfers on BNB Smart Chain. The QR code contains the address shown above.