Overview
Executive summary of the BNB market, model and data health
BNB/USDT -- --
Connecting…
Data sources are operating normally.
BNB RESEARCH TERMINAL · 2026 → 2029

Track the market signal with evidence quality in view.

Price, BNB/BTC relative strength, market structure, derivatives positioning, on-chain liquidity and supply projections are cross-validated on one research surface.

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Market Regime
Waiting for data
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Analysis Confidence--
Risk--
Model--
Data Quality--
BNB / USDT
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BNB / BTC
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BSC TVL
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Stablecoin Liquidity
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Base 2029 Target
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BNB/BTC ATH
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PRIMARY MARKET

BNB / USDT — Daily Technical Chart

Real OHLCV + SMA20 / SMA50 / SMA200; the open candle updates through the real-time feed.

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SIGNAL ENGINE

BNB Analysis Engine v2

Multi-signal validation and explainable factor contribution.

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Evidence Confidence--
Factor Coverage--
Data Quality--
TECHNICAL STATE

Technical State

Momentum, volatility and long-term trend summary.

RSI(14)--
MACD Histogram--
SMA50--
SMA200--
ATR(14)--
Market Structure--
MARKET INTELLIGENCE

Market Analysis

Structure, momentum, patterns and BNB/BTC relative strength on one decision surface.

RELATIVE STRENGTH

BNB / BTC Relative Strength

Daily pair data, SMA30 / SMA90 and the historical ATH reference provide a more detailed view of short- and medium-term relative-strength turns.

7 Days--
30 Days--
90 Days--
Distance to ATH--
PRICE ACTION

Price Action Engine

Pivot-based structure, breakout/retest and trend channel.

Daily Structure--
Weekly Structure--
Breakout / Retest--
BOS / CHoCH--
Liquidity Sweep--
Trend Channel--
Nearest Support--
Nearest Resistance--
CONFLUENCE

Fibonacci + Divergence

Retracement/extension and momentum divergence from the latest meaningful swing.

Swing Range--
Nearest Retracement--
1.618 Extension--
2.618 Extension--
RSI Divergence--
MACD Divergence--
MULTI-TIMEFRAME

Multi-Timeframe Engine

Real 15m, 1h, 4h, 1D and 1W OHLCV series are analyzed independently.

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Waiting for data…
PATTERN RECOGNITION

Pattern Engine

Confidence scoring using geometry, confirmation, recency and volume support.

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POINT-IN-TIME

Point-in-Time Backtest

Historical signal audit without using future candles.

The backtest is limited to price + BNB/BTC coverage; unavailable historical factors are never fabricated.
POSITIONING & RISK

Derivatives & Risk

Joint assessment of funding, open interest, futures premium and multiple risk components.

DERIVATIVES

Derivatives Markets

Funding, open interest, long/short distribution and futures premium.

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Funding Rate--
Open Interest--
OI 24h Change--
OI 7d Change--
Long / Short--
Futures Premium--
RISK CONTROL

Risk Engine

Volatility, trend, leverage, support distance and timeframe conflicts.

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Invalidation / risk reference: --
NETWORK & LIQUIDITY

On-chain

BSC liquidity, network health and supply-reducing burn dynamics.

LIQUIDITY

BSC On-chain Liquidity

Trend view of TVL and stablecoin market capitalization.

NETWORK HEALTH

Network Health

Direct BSC JSON-RPC sampling.

Latest Block--
Block Time--
Estimated TPS--
Transactions / Block--
Gas Fee--
DEX 24h--
SUPPLY DEFLATION

BNB Burn

Completed and projected Auto-Burn + BEP-95 burn view.

Total Auto-Burn--
Total BEP-95 Burn--
BEP-95 Last 7 Days--
Latest Completed Burn--
Next Burn Estimate--
Estimated Amount--
Waiting for data…
LONG-HORIZON VALUATION

2029 Valuation

Multi-target valuation using the BTC scenario, BNB/BTC relative value, network adjustment and post-burn supply.

SCENARIO ENGINE

2029 Scenario Engine

Bear / Base / Bull / Euphoria; scenario fit is not a probability.

ScenarioBTCBNB/BTCPair-Implied Target2029 SupplyMarket CapitalizationBlended Target
SUPPLY CURVE

Base Scenario — Supply Projection

BEP-524 time-based Auto-Burn formula.

MODEL VALIDATION

Model Lab

The frozen v14.1-r6 decision engine tracks the historical gate, forward-validation ledger and selection stability together.

FROZEN PROTOCOL

Prediction Model Calibration v14.1

The v1.3.19 Validation Protocol freezes thresholds. Tactical 30D is the forward candidate; Alpha 30D remains research/shadow-only. Historical outer-fold or holdout results are never used for retuning.

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Historical Coverage--
Real OHLCV Share--
Primary Quality Gate--
Tactical BNB/USD 30D — Nested Two-Stage Actionability → Direction
BNB/BTC Alpha 30D — Research / Shadow Only
Long-Horizon Models — Outside v14 Tuning Scope
Tactical 30D Final Inner Selection / Nested Outer Eligibility
Feature SetL2Analog WeightNested GateOuter Balanced AccuracyOuter PrecisionOuter Objective
Outer-Fold Feature-Set Selection Stability
Feature SetSelection FrequencyOuter FoldStability
Nested Outer-Fold Results
Outer FoldSelected SetL2AnalogThresholdInner ObjectiveOuter ObjectiveOuter Precision
Quality Gate
Waiting for calibration data…
HISTORICAL REPLAY

Historical Replay

Freezes the model at the selected date; later returns are used only for outcome assessment.

Select a date to run the point-in-time analysis.
DATA RELIABILITY

System Health

Operational view of provider availability, fallback behavior and data freshness.

Diagnostics JSON ↗
PROVIDER HEALTH

Source and Data Health

If a source is interrupted, the latest successful SQLite snapshot may be used as stale data; model eligibility is checked separately.

Decision Enginev14.1-r6 · Frozen
Validation Protocolv1.3.19 · Immutable
Frontendv1.5.6 · Production Ready
This analysis panel is an analytical research model; it is not investment advice or a guaranteed price forecast. Scenario results are assumption-sensitive.
RELEASE JOURNAL

Release Journal

Every material change, model decision and interface improvement to BNB Analysis Live is archived here by release.

Every release from v1.4.1 onward is documented here.
v1.5.0Telegram Feedback Notifications

Feedback notifications moved to Telegram

SMTP configuration was removed; validated feedback is stored in SQLite first and then reported to the private Telegram channel.

  • The bot token and target channel ID are kept only in server environment variables.
  • If Telegram is unavailable, the feedback remains in SQLite and the delivery failure is recorded.
  • A safe setup tool was added to discover the private channel ID and send a test message.
  • Prediction Model v14.1-r6 and the Frozen Validation Protocol were not changed.
v1.4.9Compact Analytical Rows

Analysis summaries and compact row geometry completed

Analysis summary cards now use the shared KPI hover system, while analytical and metric rows use a denser terminal layout.

  • Analysis summary cards use the KPI hover effect.
  • Factor, risk, and MTF rows were set to a 34 px height with 5 px spacing.
  • Standard metric rows use a 34 px height and 5 px spacing.
  • The CSS conflict that masked the bottom border of the final metric row during hover was removed.
v1.4.8Unified KPI Hover System

All analytical rows aligned with the KPI hover effect

Factor, risk, multi-timeframe, and metric rows now use the same focus effect as KPI cards.

  • Border color, outer shadow, and BNB-tinted inset shadow are now controlled by one shared hover rule.
  • Standard metric rows and the multi-column metric-cards design are consolidated into one CSS section.
  • KPI hover behavior was applied to every metric-card item.
v1.4.7Unified Metric Rows

Metric lists moved to the unified analytical card design

Metric lists across the terminal now share the same visual language as factor, risk, and multi-timeframe rows.

  • Standard metric rows use a 40 px card height, unified border, and background.
  • All metric rows now use the same BNB-tinted hover border and inset shadow.
  • The data-dense layout of multi-column metric cards is preserved while their surface design is unified.
v1.4.640 px Row Geometry

Analytical rows aligned at 40 px height

Using the MTF row's actual 40 px height as the reference, analytical rows across Overview, Market Analysis, and Derivatives & Risk were realigned.

  • Factor, risk, and MTF rows all use a fixed 40 px height.
  • MTF rows use the active border and background hover behavior from factor rows.
v1.4.5Row Geometry & MTF Hover

Analytical row heights and hover behavior aligned

Analytical rows across Overview, Market Analysis, and Derivatives & Risk now share one geometry and interaction rule.

  • Factor rows use the same fixed height as MTF rows.
  • Risk rows use the same fixed height as MTF rows.
  • The active border and background hover behavior from factor rows now also applies to MTF rows.
v1.4.4Global Language & Analysis Layout

English coverage and analytical panels completed

The static interface and dynamic states returned by the analysis engine were audited together. New visitors now start in English, while an explicit Turkish selection remains preserved.

  • English coverage was completed for dynamic analysis, risk, backtest, burn and calibration text.
  • Analysis factors and risk components now use the same card structure as multi-timeframe rows.
  • The BNB/BTC Relative Strength panel is now full-width, interactive and placed at the top of Market Analysis.
v1.4.3Layout & Interactive On-chain

Panel alignment restored and the on-chain chart made interactive

The main chart again occupies the first row on Overview; Analysis Engine and Technical State are fixed at equal width and height on the second row. Row-level panel equalization removed in v1.4.2 has been restored.

  • Overview: full-width main chart in the first row, two equal analysis panels in the second.
  • Panels in the same grid row once again stretch to equal height.
  • Safe room is reserved for the right axis on the dual-axis on-chain chart, eliminating clipped labels.
  • A hover crosshair and TVL / stablecoin value tooltip were added to the on-chain liquidity chart.
  • Release entries are shown release by release in a single column.
v1.4.2Readability & Responsive Charts

Readability, responsive charts and an active BNB donation address

Typography was enlarged throughout the terminal. SVG scaling that stretched charts horizontally and distorted labels on wide displays was removed; chart surfaces now calculate height from their natural aspect ratio.

  • Analysis Engine and Technical State panels on the Overview second row have equal widths.
  • All main panels and KPI surfaces receive a yellow border and soft BNB tint on hover.
  • The BNB Smart Chain donation address is active, with QR code and one-click copy.
  • Panel copy, table content, labels and helper text were enlarged for readability.
v1.4.1UI Refinement

Terminal interface redesigned for readability and interaction

Overview, On-chain, Model Lab and 2029 Valuation workspaces were reorganized for real terminal use. The supply projection gained an interactive hover layer, the browser tab gained the live BNB price, and Release Journal/Donate areas were added to the sidebar.

  • The Overview main chart moved to a full-width top row.
  • The on-chain liquidity chart is full width, with Network Health and Burn panels below.
  • Quarterly supply, burn and average BNB price can be inspected on hover in the 2029 supply chart.
  • Typography and the market-regime card were strengthened for readability.
v1.4.0Professional Research Terminal

Professional workspaces replace one long dashboard

The interface was split into seven workspaces: Overview, Market Analysis, Derivatives & Risk, On-chain, 2029 Valuation, Model Lab and System Health. A left terminal navigation, top market band, mobile drawer and Ctrl+K command palette were added.

Prediction Model v14.1-r6 and the v1.3.19 Frozen Validation Protocol were not changed.

v1.3.19Validation & Stability

Model development frozen; the real forward-evidence period begins

Tactical 30D was locked as the only forward candidate; Alpha 30D moved to research/shadow-only status. Promotion thresholds became immutable, and integrity hashes plus historical record protection were added to the forward ledger. Selection Stability Guard reports fragility as telemetry instead of retuning.

v1.3.18Data Reliability & Stability Audit

Data reliability and selection stability made visible

Freshness, fallback and model-eligibility checks were validated for mandatory model inputs. Selection Stability Audit exposed fragility between inner CV and outer-period performance in the Tactical model, shifting the next development step from new features to forward validation.

v1.2.9 → v1.3.xRobustness Research

Minimal model, external market information and leakage-safe validation

OOF feature selection, feature stability, abstention correctness, cross-market BTC/ETH regime, perpetual derivatives and BSC on-chain histories were tested systematically. Purged walk-forward, nested outer folds and rejection-only holdout separation were tightened to prevent model selection from looking at past outcomes.

v1.1.x → v1.2.xAnalysis Engine

Core layers of the BNB analysis engine established

Price action, technical indicators, patterns, BNB/BTC relative strength, derivatives, on-chain liquidity, BNB burn/supply and 2029 scenario engines were combined on one research surface. The model is designed to explain factor contribution and data quality, not only the result.

v1.0.5Stable Data Foundation

Building a resilient data-collection foundation

On networks where direct exchange access is unreliable, DefiLlama fallback stabilized BNB/USD, BTC/USD and BNB/BTC feeds. This release became the baseline for the reliable data layer used by later analysis engines.

SUPPORT THE PROJECT

Donate

Anyone who wants to support BNB Analysis Live development can contribute over BNB Smart Chain (BSC / BEP-20).

BNB SMART CHAIN

Support with Crypto

Make sure this network is selected: BNB Smart Chain (BEP-20).

Active
BNB Smart Chain donation address QR codeBNB Smart Chain · BEP-20
BNB Smart Chain Address
0xDEbD6D599eECF0C51b4df8d873c4D4B8C4B6aCBd

This address can receive BNB and supported BEP-20 token transfers on BNB Smart Chain. The QR code contains the address shown above.

NETWORK SAFETY

Before You Send

NetworkBNB Smart Chain
Token StandardBEP-20
Address StatusActive
Transfers sent over the wrong network may be unrecoverable. A small test transfer is recommended before sending a large amount.